Teacher Charlie's news and adventures from the world; Korea to Germany and all points in between!

Sunday, February 06, 2011

Piers Corbyn warns of three world top red warning notably dangerous weather periods – around Feb 10-12, 14-15, & 27-28

What the sun was doing for the simultaneous superstorms end Jan – start Feb & WHAT NEXT for world weather?

Piers Corbyn warns of three world top red warning notably dangerous weather periods –

around Feb 10-12, 14-15, & 27-28


The predicted simultaneous superstorms – end Jan / start Feb – which saw massive blizzards & thundersnow USA and a giant Cat 5 Tropical Cyclone trashing Queensland and extreme winds elsewhere in the world such as in the North Atlantic and then Scotland were preceded by important developments on the sun which have a worldwide largely predictableeffect.

The first thing to get clear is that simultaneous superstorms on different sides of the globe are meteorologically disconnected – it would take weeks for air to blow between them – so the reason for their simultaneity can only be by external solar-based cause which (with lunar modulation) has a world-wide simultaneous effect.

Notice, this can only come from direct solar magnetic effects. Zany discredited ideas such as more CO2 (which changes on time scales of decades) or Galactic Cosmic Ray modulation by the sun’s magnetic field (which takes months because that is how long the solar wind takes to change the total magnetic flux in the solar system) are non-starters to explain these events or their simultaneity.

The Solar Action

As mentioned in WeatherAction 2011 News no3 - http://bit.ly/dLZLYZ developments began with a notable opening of a ‘hole’ in the magnetosphere which let through solar particles which then led toastounding Aurorae on 25/26th Jan – See http://bit.ly/hfVkXc and http://bit.ly/hvf3pv .

Next on 28th Jan there were simultaneous solar eruptions on opposite sides of the sun -http://bit.ly/hFcPJQ , a proton burst and an M-flare - http://sidc.oma.be/products/bul/index.php &http://prop.hfradio.org/ . A significant coronal hole opened up on 30th Jan http://bit.ly/glNBIc . On 31st Jan another significant - surprise - opening of the magnetosphere let through more energetic solar particles – some from fast solar wind from the coronal hole and coronal mass ejection pieces and gave further dramatic aurorae and subsequent increases in geomagnetic activity - http://bit.ly/fWlByv .

These are the solar events which drove the superstorms on Earth, and it is worth noting the events which were an expression of and enhancement of WeatherAction’s predicted TOP RED WARNING period of Extra (weather) Activity 28th-30/31st Jan (give or take a day) meant that

(i) weather events were notably more severe than standard meteorology expected from even a day ahead – with major thundersnow and HUGE record snow deluges in the USA and Tropical Cyclone YASI reaching cat 5.

(ii) Mobility in the North Atlantic rapidly went up with winds going well above first standard Met estimates – as residents of Northumberland (eg) noted and South England turning milder while Scotland had some snow blasts. This extra mobility is continuing for a few days.

The implications for the coming period are:

1. For Britain, Ireland & Europe, the current weather period 4th-9th Feb is milder at times and more mobile in South half of Britain & Ireland and much of Europe than long-range forecasted. Variations were anyway warned of in the WeatherAction forecast for the first 12 days so now it seems clear the milder side will largely prevail in the South.

However the view for colder sometimes snowy weather including South England and parts of Europe in mid and later Feb still stands.

2. For extreme events around the world the confidence in and severity of some already predictedTOP RED WARNING PERIODS will be enhanced. Meaning trouble is not over yet for USA and Australia / Coral Sea and South Indian Ocean.

Particular top red warning extra danger times for very extreme weather events around the world (details to be / being clarified in the long range events forecasts to be / being released for the rest of Feb) are; Feb 10-12th, 14-15th, 27-28th (all dates give or take a day). Forecasts for USA & World via http://www.weatheraction.com/member.asp & choose Extreme Events World Exc Eur

Info

WeatherAction Essence of winter forcast Video http://bit.ly/ibB9OG and December link http://bit.ly/gg3PFB

• Piers’ monster blizzard paralyzes NewYork & NE / E USA 25-27 Dec as the storm he forecast in detail two weeks ahead hits on the day predicted while no other forecasters expected it until 24 hours ahead -http://bit.ly/f7C8tx , http://bit.ly/hVlNO4 + NYT says it’s Global Warming! http://bit.ly/i8gjst

• Mayor of London Boris Johnson boosts WeatherAction:

The man who repeatedly beats the Met Office at its own game ...

• SkyNews (18 Dec) http://bit.ly/hKhYiG and USA top TV* channels ABC (20Dec) & FoxNews (27 Dec) interview Piers but BBC & ITV ignore him preferring the public to suffer than admit their Met Office warmist forecasts fail and fail again – *Video links via: http://bit.ly/gQx6hD

No comments: